After Trump's victory, experts fear weakening of renewable energy and climate negotiations

A significant part of the scientific community, as well as political circles in various countries, are worried that Trump's arrival in January 2025 will affect global climate commitments.

Written by UNN with reference to Independent, Guardian and Scienza in rete.

Leading U.S. climate scientists and representatives of international organizations are expressing concern about Trump's upcoming second term and how it could affect the fight against rapid warming.

According to the analytical company Wood Mackenzie, about USD 7.7 trillion is to be invested in the US energy sector in the period 2023-2050.

But Trump's election could reduce that figure by $1 trillion ($1 trillion) if Republicans roll back policies that support low-carbon energy and related infrastructure. The Biden Administration's Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 is considered by Nature and some leading observers to be one of the really important achievements of the Biden administration - it provides for more than a trillion dollars in investment in energy transition technologies over a decade.

It may be difficult for Trump to repeal the Inflation Reduction Act, in part because many "conservatives have seen a disproportionate influx of clean energy investment and jobs from their constituents," the Guardian writes.

But there are also data from an analysis conducted by Carbon Brief in the spring of 2024: it indicates that the consequences of Trump's victory could lead to an increase in emissions in the United States by 4 billion tons by 2030. In addition, it is "very likely that the United States will not meet its global climate commitments" by 2030 compared to 2005 levels.

There are quite categorical statements.

Trump's second term, which includes the implementation of Project 2025, means the end of climate change measures as we know them this decade

"I believe we will be able to read the results of this election in the geologic record millennia from now," said writer Bill McKibben.

According to experts, a possible lack of commitment on the part of the United States would undermine global climate action, given that the country is the world's largest oil producer and the second largest source of carbon dioxide emissions.

(Trump) announced that he would encourage more oil and coal. This will require a new strategy, and efforts will have to be redoubled

By the way, in Brazil, some government officials and environmental experts have already expressed concern that Donald Trump's victory in the election as the new US president will weaken the COP30 negotiations to be held in Belém in 2025.

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The main theme of the conference in Belen is to review and strengthen the Paris Agreement, which was reached only after the United States under Barack Obama and China joined the pact to limit carbon dioxide emissions. When he first became president, Trump withdrew the country from the 195-nation agreement because he considered it "unfavorable" for Americans.